Demo Lookahead Cheat

Pipeline: paw_auto_research eval_strategy.py

Backtest: 2010-04-01 → 2019-08-02  |  periods/year: 252  |  generated: 2026-05-24 08:26

Performance Metrics

Gross

Sharpe7.167
CAGR+663.17%
Ann Vol29.05%
Max DD-4.83%
Calmar137.383
Sortino29.243
Win Rate58.76%
VaR 95%-1.098%
CVaR 95%-1.480%
Best Day+5.538%
Worst Day-2.341%
Days2,437

Net of TC

Sharpe6.963
CAGR+626.92%
Ann Vol29.20%
Max DD-4.83%
Calmar129.874
Sortino28.203
Win Rate57.61%
VaR 95%-1.123%
CVaR 95%-1.504%
Best Day+5.538%
Worst Day-2.341%
Days2,437

Cumulative Return

Drawdown

Monthly Return Heatmap (% / month, gross)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecAnnual
2010+21.77+15.89+26.24+20.17+19.27+18.32+14.18+20.47+13.09+369.97
2011+21.47+19.43+24.04+18.59+22.67+14.20+14.06+24.18+12.87+24.37+24.71+19.78+787.97
2012+18.88+14.43+16.85+13.41+21.67+12.84+26.02+18.19+17.88+18.73+18.36+18.60+624.35
2013+23.56+21.98+16.34+21.12+14.93+17.54+21.32+17.36+14.98+18.21+16.57+24.01+702.53
2014+22.27+22.01+22.69+21.73+23.60+12.30+15.10+21.97+20.05+9.39+18.65+21.10+719.28
2015+24.82+11.58+28.51+18.42+16.99+23.99+20.90+19.47+18.68+15.77+18.73+16.97+747.48
2016+18.03+21.80+16.28+16.69+20.70+15.34+26.16+18.77+17.99+18.58+19.17+12.68+664.45
2017+16.61+15.54+16.31+21.15+24.76+15.19+18.86+22.08+11.76+26.39+12.11+22.16+665.82
2018+24.17+18.74+14.89+22.97+19.45+17.87+22.34+19.70+13.42+23.60+27.18+15.11+781.36
2019+22.18+21.42+19.36+24.78+23.16+18.94+23.19-0.97+294.84

Transaction Cost Analysis

Costs computed from per-asset rates supplied by user.

Component% NAV/yr$/yr @ $5M
Fee Signal−1.6202%−$81,008/yr
Fee Roll−0.0000%−$0/yr
Slip Signal−3.2403%−$162,016/yr
Slip Roll−0.0000%−$0/yr
Total−4.8605% NAV/yr−$243,024/yr

Capacity Analysis — Cost Scaling with AUM

Market-impact drag at increasing AUM (square-root model).

AUMSignal MIRoll MITotal MI
$5M−7.079%−0.000%−7.079%
$25M−15.829%−0.000%−15.829%
$100M−31.659%−0.000%−31.659%
$500M−70.791%−0.000%−70.791%
$1.0B−100.114%−0.000%−100.114%
$2.5B−158.294%−0.000%−158.294%
$5.0B−223.861%−0.000%−223.861%
$10.0B−316.588%−0.000%−316.588%

Capacity — Per-Instrument Participation Rate

Max-day participation = (peak trade size × AUM / notional) ÷ ADV. Binding constraint is typically 5–10% for clean execution.

Instrument$100M$500M$1.0B$2.5B$5.0B$10.0B
ASSET001.0%5.0%10.0%25.0%*50.0%*100.0%*
ASSET011.0%5.0%10.0%25.0%*50.0%*100.0%*
ASSET021.0%5.0%10.0%25.0%*50.0%*100.0%*
ASSET031.0%5.0%10.0%25.0%*50.0%*100.0%*
ASSET041.0%5.0%10.0%25.0%*50.0%*100.0%*
ASSET051.0%5.0%10.0%25.0%*50.0%*100.0%*
ASSET061.0%5.0%10.0%25.0%*50.0%*100.0%*
ASSET071.0%5.0%10.0%25.0%*50.0%*100.0%*
ASSET081.0%5.0%10.0%25.0%*50.0%*100.0%*
ASSET091.0%5.0%10.0%25.0%*50.0%*100.0%*

<5% (clean)   5–20% (! >10%, stressed)   >20% (* infeasible cleanly)